The Portfolio Armor Substack

Share this post

Exits, 9/18/2023

portfolioarmor.substack.com

Discover more from The Portfolio Armor Substack

A trading blog powered by Portfolio Armor data.
Over 3,000 subscribers
Continue reading
Sign in

Exits, 9/18/2023

How we did on our most recent trade exits.

Portfolio Armor
Sep 18, 2023
Share this post

Exits, 9/18/2023

portfolioarmor.substack.com
Share

Dids/Pexels

Last Week’s (And Today’s) Trade Exits

As soon as I exit a trade, I note that in the comments of the post where I first mentioned the trade; at the end of the week, I try to track them all in one post. These are the trades I exited last week or today:

Stocks or Exchange Traded Products

None

Options Trades

  1. Put spread on Western Alliance (WAL -0.75%↓). Entered at a net debit of $0.90 on 6/1; expired worthless on 9/15. Loss: 100%.

  2. Calls on Rent the Runway (RENT -1.96%↓). Bought on 9/7; expired worthless on 9/15. Loss: 100%.

  3. $20 strike calls on the ProShares Ultra Bloomberg Natural Gas ETF (BOIL 0.00%↑). Bought on 1/25; expired worthless on 9/15. Loss: 100%

  4. $15 strike calls on the ProShares Ultra Bloomberg Natural Gas ETF (BOIL 0.00%↑). Bought on 2/21; expired worthless on 9/15. Loss: 100%.

  5. Calls on BioLineRx (BLRX -25.64%↓). Bought at $0.10 on 8/18; sold half at $0.10 on 9/11. Profit: 0%.

  6. Call spread on Hawaiian Electric Industries (HE -0.45%↓). Opened for a net credit of $1.00 on 8/17; expired on 9/15 with the stock at $13.12, so our short $12.50 strike calls were exercised and we ended up short 200 shares of HE which we covered at $13.05 on Monday, so we kept $0.45 of the net credit. Since we were risking $1.50 on this trade, making $0.45 on it means we had a gain of 30%. Profit: 30%.

  7. Skip-strike butterfly spread on GameStop (GME -0.82%↓). Entered at a net debit of $0.70 on 6/22; exercised on 9/15 leaving a net credit of $1.00. Profit: 42%.

Comments

I usually publish these Exit posts on Fridays, but a couple of options trades got exercised then and didn’t settle until today.

On the stock side, last week was another week with no exits, as the performance of our top names continues to be strong.

Top Names, 9/14/2023

Portfolio Armor
·
Sep 15
Top Names, 9/14/2023

Our Core Strategy We’ve had a number of number of new subscribers recently, so here’s a brief explanation of our core strategy. Our core strategy is to buy equal dollar amounts of the Portfolio Armor web app’s top ten names, put trailing stops of 10%-15% on them, and replace them with names from the current week’s top ten when we get stopped out of a position.

Read full story

On the options side, let’s go through the exits:

  1. Western Alliance (WAL -0.75%↓) was one of the regional banks we bet against due to its level of unrealized losses and indications that it had exhausted the new federal bank assistance facility, the BTFP. We keep getting more signs of stress in the banking system, but so far, no more regional banks going bust. It could be we were too early with some of these trades.

  2. Rent the Runway (RENT -1.96%↓) was an earnings trade that didn’t work.

  3. The ProShares Ultra Bloomberg Natural Gas ETF (BOIL 0.00%↑) calls were a bet on natural gas that didn’t work. Natural gas was trading at multiyear lows when we placed these, but there appears to be plenty of supply. I have one more open BOIL trade that expires in December; in the future, I will only bet on BOIL or KOLD when they first appear in Portfolio Armor’s top ten.

  4. Same as 3.

  5. BioLineRx (BLRX -25.64%↓) was a biotech lottery ticket. We made 350% on half of our calls on it the previous week, and exited the other half for no gain this week, after the company announced its FDA approval on 9/11. This turned out to be a sell-the-news situation. On 9/12, the company had a conference call elaborating on that approval, and those calls were trading for $0.05 after that call.

  6. This credit call spread on Hawaiian Electric Industries (HE -0.45%↓) was one of a few bets we made against the utility at the center of the Maui wildfire last month.

  7. We got the direction and timing of our entry into this bet against GameStop (GME -0.82%↓) right, but we would have made more money if our initial limit order to exit were set for less than 90% of the spread between the first two strikes in our split strike butterfly. Maybe we could have exited earlier for a net credit of $1.60 instead had we set it to 80%.

The Portfolio Armor Substack is a reader-supported publication. To receive new posts and support my work, consider becoming a free or paid subscriber.

Share this post

Exits, 9/18/2023

portfolioarmor.substack.com
Share
Comments
Top
New
Community

No posts

Ready for more?

© 2023 Portfolio Armor
Market data by Intrinio
Privacy ∙ Terms ∙ Collection notice
Start WritingGet the app
Substack is the home for great writing