Top Names, 11/16/2023

Continuing our core strategy, while updating our performance.

Our Core Strategy

Our core strategy is to buy equal dollar amounts of the Portfolio Armor web app’s top ten names, put trailing stops of 10%-15% on them, and replace them with names from the current week’s top ten when we get stopped out of a position.

A Top Names Performance Update

Before we get to this week’s top ten names, let’s look at the final, 6-month performance of our top ten names from May 11th.

Over the next six months, our top ten names from May 11th were up 8.52%, on average, while the SPDR S&P 500 Trust ETF (SPY 0.00) was up 7.69%.

That was the 15th top names cohort of 19 so far this year that outperformed the market (PA top ten returns are on the left below; SPY returns on the right).

This Week’s Top Names

Below are Portfolio Armor’s current top ten names as of Thursday’s close.

Screen capture via Portfolio Armor on 11/16/2023.

One note about the inclusion of Splunk (SPLK 0.00%↑), despite its pending acquisition: the algorithm is suggesting it might get a higher bid. If you don’t think that’s likely, you can replace it with the 11th name on our ranking on Thursday, Smith & Wesson Brands (SWBI 0.00%↑).

If you’re starting our core strategy now, you’ll want to buy equal dollar amounts of each at or near these prices, if possible, on Friday, and then enter trailing stops on each of them. Initially, I was using 10% trailing stops on all positions, but I extended that to 15% to 20%. As you get stopped out of positions, you’ll add new ones from the current top ten names then.

In my case, I’m already running this strategy, and didn’t get stopped out of any stocks this week, so I won’t be adding any tomorrow.

If you’re not buying round lots of each of these positions, it won’t be cost effective to hedge them individually, but you can hedge market risk by buying optimal puts on an index ETF such as the SPDR S&P 500 Trust (SPY 0.33%↑). As a reminder, you can use our website to scan for optimal puts (our iPhone app is currently closed to new users).

Alternatively, holding some of our bearish bets can work as a hedge against market risk too.